Real Sporting vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
RCF
3 - 3
SPO
50%
21%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
RAC
3 - 2
SPO
49%
21%
31%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SPO
2 - 0
GRA
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
BAR
1 - 0
SPO
51%
20%
30%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
SPO
5 - 2
CAS
54%
20%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1948 |
VAL
4 - 2
RAC
61%
18%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
GRA
4 - 2
VAL
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1948 |
VAL
2 - 0
BAR
59%
19%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1948 |
CAS
1 - 0
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
VAL
3 - 1
GIR
84%
10%
6%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |