Real Sporting vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
60.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 0
SPO
29%
31%
40%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 1
LEV
21%
24%
55%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 0
RAY
26%
27%
48%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
NUM
0 - 3
SPO
26%
27%
48%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
OVI
1 - 0
SPO
47%
29%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
80%
14%
7%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
VCF
0 - 1
CAD
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
NUC
0 - 3
VCF
6%
18%
76%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
VCF
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
VCF
1 - 3
AZA
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |