Real Sporting vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
OSA
2 - 1
SPO
52%
26%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 2
RSO
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 2
GEN
51%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
RAY
2 - 2
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 1
SPO
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
GNK
0 - 0
VCF
26%
25%
48%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATM
53%
22%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VCF
4 - 3
RAC
70%
19%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
VCF
3 - 0
ROM
55%
22%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 0
VCF
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |