Real Sporting vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
SPO
4 - 0
HER
67%
21%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
ATM
0 - 0
SPO
71%
19%
11%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 0
MUR
67%
21%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
BET
1 - 2
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 0
RSO
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
VAD
1 - 0
VCF
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
VCF
2 - 5
FCB
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1985 |
HER
2 - 0
VCF
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1985 |
ATM
2 - 3
VCF
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
VCF
1 - 1
MAL
62%
22%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |