Real Sporting vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
ZAR
4 - 1
SPO
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
SPO
2 - 1
CAD
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1983 |
UPL
0 - 1
SPO
16%
25%
59%
|
83 | 35 | 48 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
RSO
3 - 0
SPO
59%
24%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
SPO
1 - 1
VCF
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
RTI
0 - 0
UPL
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
UPL
4 - 0
AST
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1983 |
UPL
0 - 1
SPO
16%
25%
59%
|
35 | 83 | 48 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CAY
0 - 1
UPL
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
UPL
4 - 0
NAV
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |