Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-3
Real Sporting vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.2%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.9%
2.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATH
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
FCB
1 - 1
SPO
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1982 |
UPL
3 - 2
SPO
12%
24%
64%
|
84 | 40 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
SPO
1 - 1
RMA
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
CEL
0 - 0
SPO
42%
28%
31%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
SAN
3 - 2
UPL
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
UPL
2 - 0
NAV
87%
10%
4%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1982 |
UPL
3 - 2
SPO
12%
24%
64%
|
40 | 84 | 44 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
CAU
2 - 4
UPL
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
UPL
2 - 1
ROB
82%
13%
5%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |