Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-3
Real Sporting vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
LLE
0 - 1
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 1
LOG
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
RAY
2 - 1
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 0
CDO
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 3
ATB
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1998 |
CEL
2 - 0
ZAR
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
ZAR
3 - 4
RMA
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
EXT
0 - 2
ZAR
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
ZAR
3 - 1
RAC
65%
21%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
ALA
1 - 0
ZAR
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |