Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 19-1
Real Sporting vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
AVI
1 - 6
SPO
26%
21%
54%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SPO
1 - 3
VAD
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
OSA
3 - 1
SPO
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
SPO
4 - 0
ARE
74%
15%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
AVI
1 - 1
SPO
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
AVI
1 - 6
SPO
26%
21%
54%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
VAD
0 - 0
AVI
70%
16%
15%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
RAC
0 - 0
AVI
88%
8%
4%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
AVI
3 - 3
SLA
41%
22%
37%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
BAR
4 - 1
AVI
75%
14%
12%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |