Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 5-2
Real Sporting vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
10.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1935 |
AVI
2 - 2
SPO
35%
21%
44%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAM
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
BAR
2 - 1
SPO
37%
23%
40%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
CEL
3 - 1
SPO
66%
16%
18%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
SPO
2 - 2
VAD
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1935 |
AVI
2 - 2
SPO
35%
21%
44%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1935 |
DEP
1 - 2
AVI
73%
15%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
AVI
5 - 0
VAD
35%
23%
42%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
AVI
3 - 1
NAM
49%
21%
30%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
BAR
9 - 1
AVI
66%
17%
17%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -2 |