Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 1-2
Real Sporting vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RMC
2 - 4
SPO
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
ALM
43%
25%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 1
MIR
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FCB
3 - 0
SPO
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
VIL
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 1
OSA
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
OSA
0 - 0
BET
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ATH
1 - 0
OSA
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OSA
4 - 0
LEV
47%
26%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ZAR
3 - 1
OSA
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |