Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 2
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 0
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
EXT
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
GIM
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 1
SPO
24%
29%
48%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 2
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 0
ELC
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 2
NUM
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 1
CAD
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CCF
3 - 3
NUM
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |