Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OVI
2 - 1
SPO
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
GIM
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 1
SPO
25%
27%
48%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 2
CCF
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
NUM
1 - 0
REU
60%
25%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 0
NUM
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
NUM
0 - 0
RAY
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
HUE
2 - 1
NUM
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2018 |
RMA
2 - 2
NUM
92%
6%
2%
|
75 | 93 | 18 | +1 |