Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 2
BET
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAB
2 - 2
SPO
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 1
SPO
23%
27%
50%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 1
ALC
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 1
SPO
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CDT
0 - 0
NUM
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NUM
2 - 2
ALC
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 1
NUM
42%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
NUM
6 - 6
LUG
55%
26%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MLL
1 - 1
NUM
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |