Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
MIR
70%
20%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
REC
1 - 1
SPO
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
HUE
73%
19%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
3 - 0
XER
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CCF
1 - 1
SPO
36%
29%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CCF
1 - 0
NUM
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
NUM
3 - 0
UDL
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 3
NUM
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NUM
0 - 1
PON
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
GUA
5 - 1
NUM
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |