Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
NUM
0 - 1
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
DEP
0 - 3
SPO
61%
23%
15%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 1
OSA
37%
29%
35%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MLL
0 - 2
SPO
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 1
VIL
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
NUM
0 - 1
SPO
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
NUM
2 - 1
RAC
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VCF
4 - 0
NUM
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
DEP
1 - 0
NUM
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NUM
0 - 0
OSA
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |