Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ALB
1 - 2
SPO
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 0
XER
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ELC
3 - 1
SPO
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 1
UDL
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
POL
1 - 1
SPO
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
NUM
2 - 1
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
NUM
1 - 0
ALB
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
XER
0 - 3
NUM
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
NUM
0 - 1
ELC
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
UDL
1 - 2
NUM
35%
28%
38%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |