Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
ALB
2 - 1
SPO
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 1
ALA
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
HER
1 - 1
SPO
48%
28%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 2
CAS
53%
27%
20%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CAD
1 - 1
SPO
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
NUM
0 - 0
SLA
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
NUM
1 - 1
ALB
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 2
NUM
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
NUM
2 - 2
HER
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
CAS
3 - 1
NUM
35%
29%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |