Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
LEG
1 - 3
SPO
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SPO
2 - 0
ELC
53%
24%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
RAY
2 - 1
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SPO
1 - 0
TER
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
POL
0 - 0
SPO
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
NUM
2 - 1
CDT
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
EIB
1 - 1
NUM
35%
29%
37%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
NUM
7 - 0
CIU
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CAD
2 - 0
NUM
24%
27%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
LEG
0 - 2
NUM
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |