Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
SPO
4 - 0
CDB
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
TER
0 - 0
SPO
36%
27%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SPO
1 - 0
EIB
62%
23%
14%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
ALM
1 - 0
SPO
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
SPO
1 - 1
ZAR
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
XER
2 - 2
NUM
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
NUM
1 - 0
ELC
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
UDL
0 - 0
NUM
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
SEV
2 - 1
NUM
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CDB
1 - 1
NUM
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |