Real Sporting vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
CDB
1 - 2
SPO
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
SPO
0 - 1
XER
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
REC
0 - 0
SPO
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
SPO
1 - 1
SLA
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
VIL
3 - 1
SPO
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
NUM
0 - 0
REC
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
SLA
2 - 0
NUM
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
LEV
0 - 1
NUM
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
NUM
1 - 0
LEG
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
RCF
2 - 1
NUM
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |