Real Sporting vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
ALM
3 - 1
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATH
35%
26%
40%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ATM
3 - 1
SPO
76%
16%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 3
ESP
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
BET
2 - 0
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 0
RAC
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NUM
2 - 0
MAL
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 1
DEP
44%
26%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
OSA
2 - 3
MAL
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 1
MLL
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |