Real Sporting vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2020 |
RAY
1 - 1
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2020 |
SPO
0 - 1
OVI
53%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 2
SPO
33%
30%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 0
SPO
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SPO
4 - 0
UDL
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
LUG
0 - 0
MAL
32%
30%
38%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 0
LUG
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 3
ZAR
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
RAC
1 - 2
LUG
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
LUG
1 - 1
CAD
26%
28%
47%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |