Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Real Sporting vs CD Logroñés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
SPO
1 - 0
VAD
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
SPO
2 - 1
CAD
64%
22%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1992 |
SPO
2 - 0
BEN
87%
10%
3%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
CDT
0 - 0
SPO
43%
29%
28%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
SPO
0 - 3
VCF
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
LOG
2 - 0
CDT
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
LOG
0 - 0
VCF
32%
28%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1992 |
LOG
6 - 1
CAS
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
OSA
3 - 0
LOG
55%
26%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1992 |
LOG
1 - 0
ATM
26%
29%
45%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |