Real Sporting vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 3
SPO
37%
31%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
SPO
5 - 4
CAD
43%
28%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ALM
2 - 0
SPO
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SPO
0 - 1
MUR
54%
26%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CDT
0 - 4
SPO
55%
25%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
HER
2 - 0
NUM
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
ZAR
2 - 0
HER
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ALB
0 - 1
HER
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
HER
3 - 1
ALA
25%
28%
47%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
ZAR
18%
24%
59%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |