Real Sporting vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
XER
0 - 0
SPO
54%
26%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 0
NUM
45%
27%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
CAS
1 - 0
SPO
28%
31%
41%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALM
56%
26%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
RMC
1 - 1
SPO
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
CDT
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
NUM
1 - 0
HER
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CIU
1 - 0
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
HER
2 - 1
LLE
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
CAS
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |