Real Sporting vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
SEV
0 - 0
SPO
42%
28%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
CUL
0 - 0
SPO
16%
21%
64%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
SPO
3 - 2
ATM
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
RSO
3 - 0
SPO
62%
21%
16%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1981 |
SPO
2 - 0
RAC
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
HER
3 - 0
UDL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
22%
29%
49%
|
79 | 30 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
CAD
3 - 2
HER
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
HER
3 - 1
BET
41%
27%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1981 |
RMA
2 - 1
HER
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |