Real Sporting vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
CEL
1 - 1
SPO
33%
30%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
CAD
1 - 0
SPO
29%
23%
48%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
SPO
2 - 0
REC
82%
13%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
BUR
0 - 2
SPO
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
SPO
4 - 3
ATH
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
HER
3 - 0
VCF
40%
28%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 0
HER
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
HER
2 - 0
CEL
60%
24%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
RAC
0 - 2
HER
59%
24%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
HER
2 - 0
REC
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |