Real Sporting vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1978 |
SEV
0 - 1
SPO
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 1
RAC
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1978 |
HER
1 - 1
SPO
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
CAD
1 - 1
SPO
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
HER
64%
19%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
BUR
0 - 0
HER
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1978 |
HER
1 - 1
SPO
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
HER
2 - 3
RMA
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
HER
64%
19%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 1
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |