Real Sporting vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1949 |
VAL
2 - 3
SPO
47%
22%
32%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
SPO
6 - 1
RCF
62%
18%
20%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SPO
3 - 0
RAC
71%
16%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
GRA
1 - 0
SPO
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
SPO
0 - 0
BAR
63%
19%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
HER
4 - 1
RAC
73%
15%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
GRA
1 - 1
HER
48%
21%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
BAR
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
CAS
1 - 2
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
HER
2 - 0
GIR
77%
14%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |