Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Real Sporting vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.4%
15.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1932 |
SPO
2 - 1
ARE
48%
21%
30%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
ARE
2 - 3
SPO
72%
15%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
SPO
5 - 3
IMP
86%
9%
5%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
IMP
0 - 3
SPO
22%
22%
57%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
CAS
3 - 0
SPO
44%
22%
34%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1932 |
CEL
2 - 0
NAM
79%
12%
9%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1932 |
NAM
2 - 1
CEL
32%
21%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
DBN
0 - 13
CEL
19%
19%
62%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1932 |
CEL
9 - 0
DBN
87%
8%
5%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
CEL
1 - 1
BET
51%
22%
27%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |