Real Sporting vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 3
DEP
28%
30%
42%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
VCF
2 - 2
SPO
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
SPO
0 - 2
RSO
24%
27%
50%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
SLA
4 - 0
SPO
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
SPO
2 - 3
ATM
20%
22%
58%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1998 |
ALA
3 - 0
CDT
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1998 |
CDT
3 - 2
LEG
46%
28%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
ATB
2 - 1
CDT
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
CDT
1 - 0
SEV
32%
29%
39%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
LOG
1 - 2
CDT
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |