Real Sporting vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
SPO
2 - 0
OSA
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1981 |
ESP
5 - 1
SPO
34%
29%
37%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
SPO
1 - 0
VCF
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
ZAR
1 - 1
SPO
48%
25%
26%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
SPO
3 - 0
CUL
86%
10%
4%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
CAS
1 - 4
ESP
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
VCF
1 - 0
CAS
82%
12%
5%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
CAS
2 - 1
ZAR
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
HER
2 - 2
CAS
73%
19%
9%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
CAS
4 - 0
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |