Real Sporting vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
VAD
2 - 1
SPO
33%
28%
40%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
CAU
0 - 3
SPO
11%
23%
67%
|
85 | 33 | 52 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1981 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPO
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1981 |
SEV
0 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
SPO
2 - 0
SEV
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1981 |
CAS
1 - 1
UDL
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
CAS
3 - 0
GAN
85%
10%
5%
|
68 | 33 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
GAN
0 - 1
CAS
29%
30%
42%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
LIN
2 - 1
CAS
42%
32%
26%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
CAS
2 - 0
RAY
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |