Real Sporting vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
RSO
2 - 2
SPO
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
SPO
3 - 1
EUR
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
LLE
2 - 2
SPO
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1966 |
CDC
6 - 2
SPO
32%
27%
42%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
SPO
6 - 2
UPL
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
BUR
3 - 0
CDC
69%
18%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
UPL
2 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
BUR
2 - 1
DEP
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1966 |
BAD
2 - 1
BUR
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
BUR
3 - 2
CEL
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |