Real Sporting vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1961 |
ATB
4 - 0
SPO
39%
23%
38%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
SPO
3 - 1
SDI
70%
18%
13%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
SPO
1 - 2
ALA
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
SAB
2 - 1
SPO
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
SPO
1 - 1
BUR
84%
11%
5%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1961 |
SDI
1 - 0
PUL
56%
22%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
PUL
3 - 2
SAB
61%
21%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
RSO
1 - 1
PUL
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
PUL
0 - 2
PON
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
CDO
0 - 0
PUL
67%
19%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |