Real Sporting vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
HUE
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 0
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 1
SPO
5%
18%
77%
|
73 | 29 | 44 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
FUE
46%
29%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PON
4 - 1
SPO
43%
29%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAR
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
OVI
3 - 1
ALC
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
TER
0 - 1
ALC
16%
24%
60%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
ALC
1 - 1
LUG
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CDT
1 - 0
ALC
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |