Real Sporting vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
VCF
3 - 0
SPO
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ALB
1 - 1
SPO
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 1
VCF
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
ZAR
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LUG
0 - 0
SPO
27%
29%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALM
37%
30%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
EXT
3 - 0
ALC
22%
27%
50%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 1
NUM
38%
30%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
OSA
2 - 1
ALC
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
REU
59%
26%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |