Real Sporting vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
18%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ELC
2 - 1
SPO
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
GIR
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
LUG
80%
15%
5%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 3
MUR
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 1
CCF
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
4 - 1
NUM
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 3
ALC
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PON
2 - 0
ALC
35%
29%
37%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |