Sporting Fulgor vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
SFM
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 0
SFM
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
3 - 2
NFR
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 1
SFM
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
1 - 2
FBC
10%
17%
73%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TAR
3 - 0
NFR
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
FBC
0 - 1
TAR
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TAR
2 - 1
NAR
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FCF
0 - 2
TAR
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 0
PIC
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |