Sporting Fulgor vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
77.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SSM
3 - 2
SFM
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SFM
2 - 3
TAR
12%
18%
70%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 0
SFM
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 0
SFM
76%
16%
8%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
3 - 2
NFR
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +3 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
CAV
1 - 0
TAR
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FBC
2 - 3
CAV
33%
26%
40%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CAV
3 - 0
NAR
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
FCF
0 - 2
CAV
17%
19%
64%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAV
1 - 0
PIC
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |