Sporting Fulgor vs San Severo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
66.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FCF
2 - 1
SFM
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SFM
2 - 2
SAR
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
POM
3 - 0
SFM
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SFM
0 - 1
RAA
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
AUD
2 - 0
SFM
92%
7%
2%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SSE
2 - 2
TAR
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FBC
2 - 1
SSE
69%
18%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SSE
2 - 3
NAR
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FCF
2 - 3
SSE
46%
23%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SSE
0 - 0
PIC
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |