Sporting Fulgor vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FBC
7 - 1
SFM
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SFM
0 - 2
SSE
15%
19%
67%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FCF
2 - 1
SFM
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SFM
2 - 2
SAR
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
POM
3 - 0
SFM
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PIC
0 - 0
TAR
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FBC
3 - 3
PIC
44%
27%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PIC
1 - 1
NAR
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PIC
2 - 1
FCF
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
NFR
0 - 2
PIC
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |