Sporting Fulgor vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
74.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
NFR
2 - 2
SFM
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SFM
1 - 1
PIC
10%
17%
74%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FBC
7 - 1
SFM
89%
8%
3%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SFM
0 - 2
SSE
15%
19%
67%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FCF
2 - 1
SFM
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
NAR
1 - 1
TAR
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
NAR
2 - 2
FBC
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NFR
2 - 1
NAR
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NAR
4 - 1
FCF
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PIC
1 - 1
NAR
41%
26%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |