FAI Cup 1/16
Global 5-1
Sporting Fingal vs Mervue United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Fingal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
SFI
2 - 0
GAL
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
SHR
1 - 1
SFI
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2010 |
DUN
2 - 0
SFI
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
DRO
1 - 1
SFI
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
SFI
1 - 0
BRW
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mervue United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
WEX
3 - 2
MER
65%
21%
14%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
MER
1 - 0
ATH
47%
25%
29%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
LIM
2 - 0
MER
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
FIN
2 - 3
MER
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
MON
16%
21%
64%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +1 |