Sporting Estrada vs Val do Ulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Estrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
EST
2 - 0
SOC
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
RES
1 - 6
EST
7%
15%
78%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
EST
1 - 0
COG
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CIR
2 - 1
EST
50%
22%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
EST
2 - 1
MAM
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Val do Ulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 0
DUB
27%
23%
51%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SOC
3 - 1
VAL
45%
23%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
VAL
1 - 1
CRU
56%
22%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
RES
2 - 3
VAL
18%
21%
61%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAC
16%
20%
64%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |