Sporting Estrada vs Val do Ulla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+181%
+146%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Estrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LAM
2 - 2
EST
69%
18%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
EST
0 - 4
TOR
25%
23%
52%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
RES
0 - 0
EST
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
BEL
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 2
EST
34%
23%
44%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Val do Ulla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 0
DEI
75%
16%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 4
VAL
47%
23%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BAN
1 - 0
VAL
12%
17%
72%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 1
LAM
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 2
VAL
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |