Sporting Dolores vs UD Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
25.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Dolores
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SPD
4 - 2
ALT
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SPD
2 - 1
CDI
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 4
SPD
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
ELD
0 - 3
SPD
8%
13%
79%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SPD
1 - 0
CFU
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
UD Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 3
UDA
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 4
UDA
10%
17%
74%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
UDA
0 - 2
COC
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 3
UDA
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
UDA
1 - 1
PSP
59%
19%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |