Sporting Cristal Tumbes vs Defensor La Bocana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
80.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal Tumbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BOC
2 - 0
CRI
89%
9%
2%
|
26 | 71 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
CRI
4 - 1
SCJ
9%
16%
75%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SCJ
2 - 0
CRI
84%
12%
4%
|
24 | 63 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor La Bocana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BOC
2 - 0
CRI
89%
9%
2%
|
71 | 26 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BOC
2 - 0
SRP
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SRP
1 - 1
BOC
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |