Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 0
SPC
40%
24%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SPC
0 - 2
COM
83%
13%
5%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
GAR
2 - 2
SPC
34%
25%
42%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SPC
4 - 0
MUN
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 2
SPC
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
UTC
2 - 1
SBO
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SRP
1 - 0
UTC
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
UTC
2 - 1
BIN
47%
29%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 1
UTC
48%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 0
AYA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |