Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SPC
1 - 1
UNI
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SPC
2 - 1
LAN
31%
25%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 5
SPC
39%
24%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
AYA
5 - 3
SPC
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SPC
3 - 0
COM
63%
21%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
JUN
4 - 0
UTC
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
UTC
1 - 3
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 0
SAM
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SRP
4 - 0
UTC
52%
28%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
UTC
2 - 0
JUN
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |